Pinehurst Seattle

There’s an interesting article in Seattle Times about perception of crime compared to rate of crime in Seattle’s neighborhoods. I remember taking that survey. The article is here.

The author analyzed results from Seattle University Department of Justice’s annual survey on perceptions of crime in Seattle. For SPD policing planning, Pinehurst fits into two different neighborhood plans  – the part east of 15^th Ave NE is in the Lake City area, while west of 15^th Ave NE is part of the Northgate area.  Here are the numbers for those two neighborhoods:

Lake City

Fear of crime is reported at 45.8 out of a possible 100, while rate of crime is 40 crimes per 1000 people.

Northgate

Fear of crime is reported at 49.3 out of a possible 100, while rate of crime is 78 crimes per 1000 people.

The average fear of crime in Seattle is 45.4 out of 100. You can see an interactive map in the article (see link above.)

Paraphrasing from the article:

There is a phenomenon known as the ‘mean world syndrome’ that the world is a much more dangerous place than it actually is.

A number of factors contribute to this sense of fear, including reading or watching a lot of news, or hyperlocal websites like Nextdoor.com, where neighbors frequently post about crime.

A person who is a high media consumer will believe the world is a much more dangerous place than his or her neighbor who is a low media consumer.

Past personal experience with victimization can also contribute to the sense of fear an individual feels. So can certain demographic characteristics, like age or gender, that might put a person at higher risk for certain types of crime.

Visible signs of disorder within a neighborhood — things like broken windows, graffiti, disorderly behavior, and so on — can make a place feel more dangerous, too.

So my question is, are we whipping up fear of crime, and fomenting discomfort living in Pinehurst by talking about crime in our Facebook group and on NextDoor. etc? Would we all be happier if we didn’t report crimes and suspicious activities on social media? Should we stop? Or is it useful?

I stopped posting the monthly Pinehurst crime map a while back because the city’s website changed in a way that didn’t let me collect the data. I heard that soon-ish there will be a way to collect data by SPD beat by some date span, maybe quarter, but I can’t remember if it’s also by month. So then I’ll be able to present some data, though this source isn’t a map; it’ll just be numbers.

In the meantime, here’s a chart from the last SeaStat meeting. SeaStat is a bi-monthly meeting of all the SPD bigwigs to look at crime data. This chart compares property and person crimes in the last 28 days to the same categories and same 28 days a year ago. Please note that it is for all North Precinct, not Pinehurst.

I’m not sure what is accomplished by comparing the current month to the same month last year.  Maybe more informative for us is looking at the bottom graph that shows number of crimes month by month. It is trending up. Again, I don’t know if this is true in Pinehurst, since the chart is for all North Precinct.